Saturday, September 4, 2010

TLT is showing some keys

In the big picture, TLT looks like it is developing wave 4, until 96.72 (we know what this means for the S & P the US treasury bonds downtrending, at least in the short term). This is supported also by the reversal pattern (hammer followed by a red candlestick). The target is 96.72. In addition, the last news are showing a change in the mood of the market (jobs report, FED speech, etc.). We can add to this, the behavior of the VIX during the last week (weak and without a clear trend in the weekly chart). I am thinking on possible objectives for wave 5. Still I do not know the target of that wave. 

TLT daily chart:

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