PBR: near 2008

And near the bottom?

?

PBR - Petrobras Brazil

Rio de Janeiro-based Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras; PBR) is a mixed joint stock corporation controlled by Brazil's federal government. PBR is one of the largest oil and gas companies in the world, and operates in five business segments: Exploration and Production (E&P; 24% of 2009 revenues, 55% of 2009 operating income), Supply (47%, 37%), Distribution (18%, 4%), Gas & Energy (4%,3%), and International (7%, 1%).
Each ADS represents two common shares.
The chart looks tempting. But, I will keep my stop loss at 37,87...there are a lot of problems around the world, and who knows what could happen in the Middle East and how the development of the unrests could affect the energy sector.

Technically speaking, I think PBR is beginging a wave 3. But, be careful and maintain your stops.

PBR:

A break above 37 is a buy.

XOM vs PBR, and the US Dollar Index

In this chart we can see the relationship between XOM and PBR. Take a look at the black line (the US dollar index) and the red line (XOM/PBR). We can see how the two lines have a close correlation. In my opinion, this relationship could be very useful to decide in which stock you should be invested. I think that (may be) the US dollar index can anticipate this relationship.

Time to sell PBR and buy XOM? May be. The next days I will be following this relationship.

In addition, a long term look at XOM. It is over an important tendency line, which was effective since 2002. Also, pay attention to the red line (9 EMA) and the yellow line (22 EMA), which give a buy signal in October 2009 and it is still valid (in the weekly chart).

Short term look: