Euro / US Dollar -

I am trying to figure out the elliot wave count on this pattern. The news around this pattern today:

Germany May Pay 35 Billion Euros for Euro Rescue, Die Welt Says

Euro Weakens for Second Day After Merkel's Party Defeated; Dollar Advances 

Euro Extends Slide Against Dollar, Yen as Leaders Divided on Bailout Fund

US dollar: long?

Euro-Usd

Yes, the signal it is not clear enough, but may be the next coming days we will understand. This could be more fuel to the market rally, (if it breaks the channel).

EURO-USD weekly chart - Fibo's: 

EURO-USD daily chart - Fibo's: 

Let's see what's happening in the FXE:

GOLD in Euro

In this chart I want to notice something estrange that happen between 2008 & 2010 regarding gold.
If we measure gold in euro, and then compare it against US dollar, we find that both were good investments...but... I used to think that gold and US dolar move in opposites directions...

XOM vs PBR, and the US Dollar Index

In this chart we can see the relationship between XOM and PBR. Take a look at the black line (the US dollar index) and the red line (XOM/PBR). We can see how the two lines have a close correlation. In my opinion, this relationship could be very useful to decide in which stock you should be invested. I think that (may be) the US dollar index can anticipate this relationship.

Time to sell PBR and buy XOM? May be. The next days I will be following this relationship.

In addition, a long term look at XOM. It is over an important tendency line, which was effective since 2002. Also, pay attention to the red line (9 EMA) and the yellow line (22 EMA), which give a buy signal in October 2009 and it is still valid (in the weekly chart).

Short term look: